2022 Men’s Lacrosse Bracketology 6.0

(Photo Courtesy of Brown Athletics)

Championship week is here!

On Sunday night, the bracket will be released and we’ll officially know who is in and who is out of this year’s NCAA Men’s Lacrosse Tournament. Here is one last look at bracketology before Selection Sunday.

Continue reading “2022 Men’s Lacrosse Bracketology 6.0”

2022 Men’s Lacrosse Bracketology 4.0

(Photo Courtesy of Brown Athletics)

Just when you thought the season couldn’t get any wackier, it did. Last week saw the NCAA Selection Committee released their top 10 and four of those teams took a loss, including Duke beating Virginia, Brown topping Yale, and Army defeating Cornell. Does a lot change? Maybe not, but it does make things wilder.

Continue reading “2022 Men’s Lacrosse Bracketology 4.0”

2022 DI Men’s Lacrosse Bracketology 1.0

(Photo Courtesy of Maryland Athletics)

In three days the calendar turns to April, which means the final stretch of the regular season begins in college lacrosse. Across the landscape, every conference except for the ASUN, Big East, and CAA have begun league.

Continue reading “2022 DI Men’s Lacrosse Bracketology 1.0”

2021 DI NCAA Men’s Lacrosse Bracketology 4.0

(Photo Courtesy of North Carolina Athletics)

The regular season has come to and end (with the exception of Syracuse vs Robert Morris on Friday) and conference champions will be crowned this weekend. So, without further ado, here is the fourth and final installment of the Lacrosse Bucket bracketology series for the season as we sit six days out from Selection Sunday.


ICYMI: 

Bracketology 1.0 (4/12)

Bracketology 2.0 (4/20)

Bracketology 3.0 (4/27)


How It Works

As always, here is a refresher as to how the NCAA Tournament works for those of you who may be unaware or have forgotten. The 2021 NCAA Men’s Lacrosse Tournament will feature eight seeded teams and eight non-seeded teams. Those teams will make up the 16-team bracket.

Eight teams will be automatic qualifiers (AQ) and those eight will all be conference champions. Remember, the ACC does not have an AQ because a conference needed six teams to qualify for an AQ. The ACC only has five teams. With eight AQ’s, that leaves eight spots for at-large selections.

Now how does the NCAA selection committee pick teams for at-large bids and seed teams for the tournament? According to the committee, they consider a multitude of things. The committee looks at record, strength of schedule index (based on team’s 10 highest-rated games), RPI results, average RPI wins and losses, head-to-head results, record against ranked teams (1-5, 6-10, 11-15, 16-20, and 21+), significant wins and losses, location of games, results versus common opponents, and any polls do not matter. 

However, because of the uniqueness of this season, the selection process will be more different than ever before. For instance, the Big Ten opted for a conference-only schedule whereas the ACC allowed their teams to play non-conference games. Because of such instances, the committee will likely be relying more heavily on the eye test and feedback from their regional advisory committee, which is made up of 10 coaches.

Projected Automatic Qualifiers

We still have a lot of lacrosse to be played, but if the tournament started today this is what the AQ situation would look like. These selections are based on best conference record at this moment.

ConferenceTeamRecordConference RecordRPI RankSOS Rank
America EastUMBC8-27-21652
Big EastDenver11-39-196
Big TenMaryland10-010-0738
CAADelaware10-27-11328
MAACManhattan^4-44-32824
Patriot LeagueLehigh9-18-0 (6-0)*1862
NECSaint Joseph’s8-38-01927
SoConRichmond6-55-12713

^Manhattan, Quinnipiac, and Monmouth had a three-way tie for the MAAC regular season champion. However, the Jaspers earned the No. 1 seed in the MAAC Tournament so they are put in that AQ spot.

*The Patriot League has split into two divisions this season: North and South. Record in parentheses is division record.

Data from Laxbytes.com – 5/3.


Possible At-Large Selections

While its always interesting who gets chosen as an at-large selection, it will be even more interesting this season given all the differences in scheduling from team to team and conference to conference. And, as always, any upsets in conference tournaments could change at-large selections drastically.

For this section this week, we are listing 14 teams that are in contention for a possible at-large bid after removing the projected AQs. Teams are listed in order based on their RPI rank. However, that number really doesn’t mean much this season at all. And as always, some of these teams listed have little to no chance of getting unless they get an AQ.

ConferenceTeamRecordConference RecordRPI RankSOS Rank
ACCNorth Carolina11-24-211
ACCDuke12-24-222
ACCVirginia10-42-444
ACCNotre Dame7-33-357
ACCSyracuse6-52-463
Patriot LeagueArmy West Point7-35-2 (3-0)*810
CAADrexel8-26-21132
Big EastGeorgetown10-29-11215
Big TenRutgers8-28-21439
Patriot LeagueNavy6-24-2 (2-2)*1535
Big EastVillanova7-46-41714
CAATowson6-83-5215
Patriot LeagueLoyola7-54-3 (3-1)*238
America EastVermont7-47-22530

*The Patriot League has split into two divisions this season: North and South. Record in parentheses is division record.

Data from Laxbytes.com – 5/3.


Bids Per Conference

Before getting into what I think the bracket could look like at this time, let’s take a look at how many bids each conference could receive. There are a few conference that are sure to get multiple bids while other may get just get one bid. Some of the bottom conferences will obviously only get that one AQ, as usual.

ACC – Four or Five Bids

Big East – One or Two Bids

Big Ten – Two Bids

Patriot League – Two or Three Bids

America East – One Bid 

CAA – One Bid

MAAC – One Bid

NEC – One Bid

SoCon – One Bid


Projected Bracket 4.0

Last Four In: Army West Point, Georgetown, Loyola, Rutgers

First Four Out: Drexel, Navy, Syracuse, Villanova

Bubble Talk

In the first three bracketology posts I had Syracuse in as the last team in and while I believe they still have a chance of getting in, their blowout loss coupled with Loyola’s win over Georgetown and Villanova’s victory over Lehigh did nothing to help them this weekend. At the moment, I have them as the first team out.

As with the rest of the bubble, a lot will be determined during the course of this week but I have Loyola as the last team in right now. Their conference quarterfinal matchup against Navy could really shake things up, as could Georgetown’s Big East semifinals meeting with Villanova. Those two games are, in my mind, two of the most important games of the week as far as the bubble is concerned.

Army and Rutgers are the only two teams of my last four in that I feel confident saying will certainly get in. Now, if something unforseen happens that could change things, but as we sit right now I feel confident that we will see the Black Knights and Scarlet Knights called as at-large bids on Sunday.

2021 DI NCAA Men’s Lacrosse Bracketology 2.0

(Photo Courtesy of Maryland Athletics)

As of today (April 20th), we are 19 days away from Selection Sunday and have just two weeks left in the regular season. But while we are in the home stretch, there is still much to be determined in the last few weeks and we will certainly see some more shake-ups, as far as bracketology is concerned, just as we did this past weekend.

So, without further ado, here is the second installment of the Lacrosse Bucket bracketology series for the season.

Continue reading “2021 DI NCAA Men’s Lacrosse Bracketology 2.0”

Bracketology 4.0: Conference Tournament’s Loom

DSC_3785.jpg
Photo Courtesy of Penn State Athletics                                                                                                            

It’s the last week in April and thus the last week of the regular season for teams across the DI landscape. The ACC tournament starts this week (Doesn’t really mean much) and the rest follow suit next week. Last weekend was big and this weekend is crucial, especially for teams sitting on the verge of getting in or being left out of their conference tournament. Perhaps the biggest conference races are in the NEC and the MAAC where there could be multiple tiebreakers to decide the field, and even the possibility of the entire field having the same conference record. The Big Ten conference race will also be interesting as either Ohio State or Johns Hopkins will not make it in.

With all that ruckus going on it’s time to look at this fourth edition of Bracketology. The bubble is starting to look more clear and things are falling into place. While there is still plenty of uncertainty, the one thing that is certain is that Penn State still sits atop the rest for the time being as the Nittany Lions have been dominate all season long and continue their tear through the college lacrosse world.


ICYMI: 

Third Look: Bracketology 3.0: What’s Going On?

Second Look: Bracketology 2.0: The Field is Still Wide Open

First Look: Bracketology 1.0: Fully Immersed in Conference Play


HOW IT WORKS

As a little refresher for those of you who may not be aware, this is how the NCAA tournament works. 

In the NCAA DI men’s lacrosse tournament there are eight seeded teams and nine teams that are not seeded. Two teams will be in a play-in game and the winner will have to play the number one overall seed in the first round. 

There are nine automatic qualifiers and those nine are all conference champions. Remember, the ACC does not have an AQ because they just have five teams and a conference needs six teams to be given an AQ spot in the NCAA tournament. With nine AQ’s that leaves eight teams that get in as at-large bids. 

Now how does the NCAA selection committee pick teams for at-large bids and seed teams for the tournament? According to the committee they consider a multitude of things. The committee looks at record, strength of schedule index (based on team’s 10 highest rated games), RPI results, average RPI wins and losses, head-to-head results, record against ranked teams (1-5, 6-10, 11-15, 16-20, and 21+), significant wins and losses, location of games, results versus common opponents, and any polls do not matter. 

PREDICTED AUTOMATIC QUALIFIERS 

When looking at who the automatic qualifiers could be, conference record is used and not highest RPI rank. However, in the case that some teams have the same conference record then RPI will be used.

Conference Team Record Conference Record RPI Rank SOS Rank
America East Albany 5-7 4-1 42 32
Big East Villanova 8-5 3-1 13 4
Big Ten Penn State 11-1 4-0 1 10
CAA Towson 8-4 3-1 11 9
Ivy League Penn 8-3 6-0 4 6
MAAC Marist 7-6 5-1 36 43
Patriot League Loyola 10-3 6-1 6 11
NEC Hobart 10-3 4-1 24 70
SoCon Richmond 8-5 5-1 26 35

Data From LaxBytes – 4/24


POSSIBLE AT-LARGE SELECTIONS

Again, there are still so many teams that have a very good case at this point to be at-large bids. While we have started to see a little more clarity, anything can happen on any day and that is part of what makes this sport so great. 

For this section the next 16 possible at-large candidates will be listed. Again, the number of teams displayed here has shrunk from 20 to 16 as we have gotten deeper into the season and things look more clear now. Also, those last few don’t have much of a shot unless they win their conference anyway. 

Those next four teams are: High Point, Rutgers, Hobart, and Princeton

Conference Team Record Conference Record RPI Rank SOS Rank
ACC Duke 11-3 2-2 2 1
Big Ten Maryland 11-2 3-1 3 12
Ivy League Yale 9-2 4-1 5 15
ACC Syracuse 9-3 2-2 7 7
ACC Virginia 11-3 3-1 8 8
Big Ten Ohio State 8-3 1-3 9 16
ACC Notre Dame 7-5 2-2 10 2
Ivy League Cornell 9-4 3-2 11 5
Big Ten Johns Hopkins 6-6 2-2 14 3
Big East Denver 8-4 3-1 15 18
Patriot League Army 9-4 5-3 16 28
Big East Georgetown 10-4 2-2 17 29
SoCon Air Force 9-4 5-1 18 31
Patriot League Boston U. 10-4 5-2 19 34
CAA UMass 9-4 3-1 20 38
ACC North Carolina 7-6 1-3 21 14

Data From LaxBytes – 4/24


Bids Per Conference

Before getting into what I think the bracket could look like at this time, let’s take a look at how many bids each conference could receive. There are a few conference that are sure to get 3-4 bids while other may get two at the most depending on what happens in the conference tournament. Some of the bottom conferences will obviously only get that one AQ bid as usual. 

ACC – Four Bids 

Big Ten – Three Bids

Ivy League – Two/Three Bids

Patriot League – One/Two Bids

Big East – One/Two Bids

CAA – One Bid

SoCon – One Bid

NEC – One Bid

MAAC – One Bid

America East – One Bid 


Projected Bracket 4.0

This was very tough as it’s difficult enough to pick the teams, but then to seed and place them is even more difficult. I used the criteria that the NCAA selection committee uses was used as beast as I could to put this bracket together. 

While the hardest part was picking the at-large teams and seeding the top eight, it was even harder picking who to leave out at the moment. Even with what transpired last weekend, there are still teams that you could make a very strong case for getting in and vice versa. 

Last Four In: Yale, Notre Dame, Army, Denver 

First Four Out: Cornell, Johns Hopkins, North Carolina, Ohio State 

 

 

Screen Shot 2019-04-24 at 7.41.11 PM

 

 

 

 

Bracketology 3.0: What’s Going On?

gerard-arceri-penn-state-john-strohsacker.jpg
Photo Credit: John Strohsacker/US Lacrosse Magazine                                                                                

After the first weekend in April we still don’t have much clarity in a lot of the conference races, but we do have a good idea in some. Last weekend was crazy as there were upsets everywhere.

Today, we sit less than a month away from Selection Sunday and things are winding down and heating up at the same time. It’s an exciting time to be involved in the sport no matter what. But now, let’s get to some bracketology.


ICYMI: 

Last week: Bracketology 2.0: The Field is Still Wide Open

Two Weeks Ago: Bracketology 1.0: Fully Immersed in Conference Play


HOW IT WORKS

As a little refresher for those of you who may not be aware, this is how the NCAA tournament works. 

In the NCAA DI men’s lacrosse tournament there are eight seeded teams and nine teams that are not seeded. Two teams will be in a play-in game and the winner will have to play the number one overall seed in the first round. 

There are nine automatic qualifiers and those nine are all conference champions. Remember, the ACC does not have an AQ because they just have five teams and a conference needs six teams to be given an AQ spot in the NCAA tournament. With nine AQ’s that leaves eight teams that get in as at-large bids. 

Now how does the NCAA selection committee pick teams for at-large bids and seed teams for the tournament? According to the committee they consider a multitude of things. The committee looks at record, strength of schedule index (based on team’s 10 highest rated games), RPI results, average RPI wins and losses, head-to-head results, record against ranked teams (1-5, 6-10, 11-15, 16-20, and 21+), significant wins and losses, location of games, results versus common opponents, and any polls do not matter. 

PREDICTED AUTOMATIC QUALIFIERS 

When looking at who the automatic qualifiers could be, conference record is used and not highest RPI rank. However, in the case that some teams have the same conference record then RPI will be used.

Conference Team Record Conference Record RPI Rank SOS Rank
America East Vermont 7-4 4-1 44 57
Big East Villanova 7-5 2-1 11 6
Big Ten Penn Sate 10-1 3-0 1 11
CAA Delaware 10-2 3-0 28 61
Ivy League Penn 7-3 5-0 2 4
MAAC Marist 7-5 5-1 37 46
Patriot League Loyola 9-3 5-1 9 10
NEC Mount St. Mary’s 8-5 4-0 39 45
SoCon Air Force 8-4 4-1 19 28

Data From LaxBytes – 4/17


POSSIBLE AT-LARGE SELECTIONS

Again, there are still so many teams that have a very good case at this point to be at-large bids. While we have started to see a little more clarity, anything can happen on any day and that is part of what makes this sport so great. 

For this section 20 possible at-large candidates will be listed. Again, the number of teams displayed here will likely shrink as we get closer to Selection Sunday. 

Conference Team Record Conference Record RPI Rank SOS Rank
ACC Duke 10-3 2-2 3 1
ACC Syracuse 8-3 2-2 4 9
Ivy League Yale 8-2 4-1 5 22
ACC Virginia 10-3 3-1 6 7
Big Ten Ohio State 8-2 1-2 7 24
Big Ten Maryland 10-2 2-1 8 18
ACC Notre Dame 6-5 1-2 10 2
CAA Towson 7-4 2-1 12 15
Big Ten Johns Hopkins 6-5 2-1 13 5
Ivy League Cornell 8-4 2-2 14 3
Big East Denver 7-4 2-1 15 23
Big East Georgetown 9-4 2-2 16 29
Patriot League Army 9-3 5-2 17 30
ACC North Carolina 7-5 1-2 18 14
Patriot League Boston U. 9-4 4-2 20 27
CAA UMass 8-4 2-1 21 31
Big Ten Rutgers 6-6 1-2 22 12
SoCon High Point 10-2 4-1 23 32
SoCon Richmond 7-5 4-1 24 52
Ivy League Princeton 6-6 3-3 25 21

Data From LaxBytes – 4/17


Projected Bracket 3.0

This was very tough as it’s difficult enough to pick the teams, but then to seed and place them is even more difficult. I used the criteria that the NCAA selection committee uses was used as beast as I could to put this bracket together. 

While the hardest part was picking the at-large teams and seeding the top eight, it was even harder picking who to leave out at the moment. Even with what transpired last weekend, there are still teams that you could make a very strong case for getting in and vice versa. At the moment it looks like Denver is the last team in while Johns Hopkins is the first team out. 

Things last weekend changed some things, especially in the Patriot League. But there is still plenty of season left, and not to mention conference tournament’s can get crazy. This field seems still pretty wide open and numerous different teams can make serious jumps from now until Selection Sunday. 

Screen Shot 2019-04-17 at 8.20.45 AM

 

Last Four In: Yale, Ohio State, Cornell, Denver

First Four Out: Johns Hopkins, Rutgers, North Carolina, Army


Bracketology Show

For more college lacrosse bracketology check out our weekly bracketology show that will be out ever Wednesday at 10pm on YouTube